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Long Call Vertical
SBUXApr 25 (-6 dte)
Debit
$120
Profit
$80.00
Breakeven
$79.2
SBUX has seen some selling over the last few weeks,commensurate with the broad market,so there is absolutely a headwind longer term,but in the short term,signs point to a bounce. We can use this opportunity to take a bullish trade in the short term to play a bounce toward the last level of resistance while keeping a stop fairly tight. As a longer term trade,it’s off about 35% from the highs,and I can’t see Starbucks having much of an issue adapting to an economic downturn. Do people really need to drink coffee? Yes,I think we can all agree that they do. Are people really that loyal to their coffee brand. Why yes,they sure are. Could they just make it at home? Sure. Will they? No.
Long Diagonal Put Spread
GMEMay 16 (15 dte) /May 2 (1 dte)
Debit
$59
Profit
$78.00
Breakeven
$24.12, $28.20
It’s earnings season and the time for calendar spreads is now! But not why you think… by selling the contracts expiring before earnings and buying the contracts that expire after earnings, we can take advantage of what I’ll call “vol creep” which is the fact that options prices stay bid through earnings, thus raising the implied volatility (less time + same price = higher IV calc). The prices aren’t increasing per se, but they aren’t falling much either. By selling the contract that decays normally and buying the one that stays bid, we retain some edge. Doesn’t hurt that GME is 9th and 10th percentile for 5 and 1 year vol range, respectively.
Long Call Vertical
SBUXApr 25 (-6 dte)
Debit
$120
Profit
$80.00
Breakeven
$79.2
SBUX has seen some selling over the last few weeks,commensurate with the broad market,so there is absolutely a headwind longer term,but in the short term,signs point to a bounce. We can use this opportunity to take a bullish trade in the short term to play a bounce toward the last level of resistance while keeping a stop fairly tight. As a longer term trade,it’s off about 35% from the highs,and I can’t see Starbucks having much of an issue adapting to an economic downturn. Do people really need to drink coffee? Yes,I think we can all agree that they do. Are people really that loyal to their coffee brand. Why yes,they sure are. Could they just make it at home? Sure. Will they? No.
Long Diagonal Put Spread
GMEMay 16 (15 dte) /May 2 (1 dte)
Debit
$59
Profit
$78.00
Breakeven
$24.12, $28.20
It’s earnings season and the time for calendar spreads is now! But not why you think… by selling the contracts expiring before earnings and buying the contracts that expire after earnings, we can take advantage of what I’ll call “vol creep” which is the fact that options prices stay bid through earnings, thus raising the implied volatility (less time + same price = higher IV calc). The prices aren’t increasing per se, but they aren’t falling much either. By selling the contract that decays normally and buying the one that stays bid, we retain some edge. Doesn’t hurt that GME is 9th and 10th percentile for 5 and 1 year vol range, respectively.
Long Call Vertical
SBUXApr 25 (-6 dte)
Debit
$120
Profit
$80.00
Breakeven
$79.2
SBUX has seen some selling over the last few weeks,commensurate with the broad market,so there is absolutely a headwind longer term,but in the short term,signs point to a bounce. We can use this opportunity to take a bullish trade in the short term to play a bounce toward the last level of resistance while keeping a stop fairly tight. As a longer term trade,it’s off about 35% from the highs,and I can’t see Starbucks having much of an issue adapting to an economic downturn. Do people really need to drink coffee? Yes,I think we can all agree that they do. Are people really that loyal to their coffee brand. Why yes,they sure are. Could they just make it at home? Sure. Will they? No.
